Tennis is one of the few sports around where the shrewd punter with an informational edge of some kind really can achieve betting “Nirvana” – the ability to gamble on a 50-50 outcome regularly with a slightly better than even money chance of winning. But to achieve this state of betting idealism, you really have to do your homework and to know a little more than the next person – and this isn’t an easy thing to achieve.
When you think about it – this is all casinos do in the other direction. Some games like roulette, for example, are almost 50-50, but the zero slot gives the house its very small edge – and this is all it takes for the house to win out gradually over time. With some providers like Betway Casino and others, you may qualify for an introductory bonus, but if you play long enough, the probabilities dictate that you will lose albeit gradually.
With tennis outcomes, there are two different general approaches to consider depending on your level of insight into the game – and they depend on the level of the competiton.
In short, you can guarantee with a good degree of certainty that any player playing in any of the Grand Slam events is trying is or her absolute utmost to win. It goes without saying that these are the events all players want to excel in – and though they ostensibly try to play their best tennis in all tournaments, no player can give absolutely 100% all the time.
Betting in these tournaments, then, demands a degree of insight and knowledge of the sport – but the playing field is at least reasonably level. In other words, it’s all about how good a judge you are – and how good you are at analyzing the game.
The same principle holds true for any player playing on his or her home soil. All players want to show the home crowd their prowess more so than in other countries (though this is reflected in the odds more often than not).
Otherwise – the smaller tournaments are slightly different. During these events, those people with an inside knowledge of the game will be more aware than others of any problems a player is having with injuries, for example, and the extent to which he or she is really “up for it” with any given match. If you’re one of those people thanks to your careful observation of the game as opposed to any real “insider” knowledge – then this can really help give you an edge on the market and the possibility of achieving the afore-mentioned gambling Nirvana.
It all depends on doing you homework as thoroughly as possible, using your knowledge and judgement very carefully then, and most importantly of all, trialling your system to your own rules over a reasonable length of time with money you can easily afford to lose. Alternatively, you can simply bet “virtually” only as long as you’re 100% honest with yourself about the virtual amounts involved.
If you can really prove to yourself that you have the tennis betting edge over the market over a decent stretch of time – then gradually increase your stakes so they become a little more serious. But even then; don’t trust your own system until it’s foolproof. Remember, no one wins all the time, but the shrewdies can win gradually, most of the time. But to join them, you’ll have to work hard and be thoroughly disciplined; it’s all about doing your homework.
